The top 10 articles of 2024 include cover stories on the LNG industry and digital twins, Myth Busters and Turbo Tips columns, a gas turbine sales report, and much more.
1. POWERGEN 2024: An Overview of Nuclear, SMR Technology
At POWERGEN 2024 in New Orleans, LA, Kevin Hubery of Sargent & Lundy led the session, Small Modular Reactor (SMR) Technology and Market Overview. Huberty provided a comprehensive review of SMR technology, including the various models, ongoing projects, government regulations, and major vendors within the industry.
SMRs have enhanced safety measures with passive core-cooling technology, lowering the need for redundancy and safety-related equipment. Modularizing the technology will help construction schedules meet expectations and using digital controls and security-by-design will reduce operating costs. SMR licensing has been one of the largest hurdles for the industry, as the Nuclear Regulatory Commission requires extensive validation of SMRs prior to granting any land or technology permits.
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2. Digital Twins in the Real World
A digital twin is a digital representation of an intended or actual real-world physical product, system, or process. It can be seen as a digital counterpart of equipment or an entire facility that can be used for simulation, integration, testing, monitoring, and maintenance that accurately reflects the equipment or facility's ongoing operations. They can be used to simulate planned changes to see how the turbine will perform prior to the physical work being done and can be used to stay on top of performance and maintenance operations in real-time.
Those managing large fleets and OEMs monitoring their own units in the field can gather massive amounts of operational parameters and use the data to improve performance, lower emissions, spot degradation, and avoid unplanned downtime. AI and statistics-based digital twins add more value with gas and steam turbines that have hundreds and sometimes thousands of similar turbines operating around the globe.
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A variety of technical challenges make carbon capture and storage difficult for reciprocating and centrifugal compressors. These include CO2’s thermodynamic path dependence and multi-phase behavior; amplified dynamic forces on moving components; carbonic acid formed in the presence of water; rapid decompression failures due to solubility in elastomeric materials; and aerodynamic issues due to low sonic speed.
These issues apply to both centrifugal and reciprocating compressors, but reciprocating compressors have additional issues when operating with CO2. Some of the top challenges are pulsation control, leakage, flow control, and mechanical reliability.
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4. Turbo Tips: How to Manage Bolt Connections & Bolt Joints in Turbomachines
Bolt connections only account for a small amount of the overall budget of a turbomachine; however, they are responsible for many leaks, operational problems, shutdowns, and failures. Bolt-connection requirements often determine the size and design of attached items, modules, and subsections, and specific nonstandard bolt connections may require extra thought in connection sizing, configuration, and installation.
The load capacities of each component and connection should be evaluated, including connectors such as bolts, nuts, and washers, and connection components such as plates or flanges. There should be sufficient distance between bolt holes and between each bolt hole and the edge of the connecting plate/part to avoid failure. Similarly, to tighten bolts, ensure access to each one and sufficient distances between bolts and the surrounding obstacles.
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5. Centrifugal Compressors: The ‘Business End’ of Many Critical Industries
The centrifugal compressors market is served by over 20 OEMs globally, producing over 2,000 units per year, and in 2022, the value of this market (not including related aftermarket repairs) was approximately US$3.4 billion. Upcoming market trends include growth in LNG production, carbon capture and storage, subsea compression, and hydrogen/ammonia applications. Dora Partners estimated that 2023 will result in new unit orders of more than US$3.6 billion, with a relatively consistent growth forecast over the next 10 years.
The centrifugal compressor typology includes axial inlet pipeline, radially split barrel, beam-style pipeline, and integral motor compressors. These models are used across several sectors such as upstream, midstream, downstream oil and gas, and industrial applications. There are differences in driver types across the application segments, with gas turbines frequently being used in the midstream and upstream segments, and steam turbines often being used in the downstream segment.
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6. Myth: Nothing Lasts Forever, Not Even Coatings
A coating is one layer of one substance over another to create a composite system that enhances the properties beyond those of each constituent alone. In modern turbomachines, coatings are vital to overcoming many technological limitations; for example, in gas turbines, thermal barrier coatings in combination with cooling allow hot sections of the turbine to heat well above the base metal’s temperature tolerance. In compressors and steam turbines, anti-erosion coatings are often used to extend the blade life in harsh operating environments.
The most common coating-failure mechanisms are liquid or solid erosion, mechanical surface wear, corrosion and pitting, flaking due to lack of adhesion, thermal and chemical blistering and cracking, and spallation due to mechanical or chemical incompatibility of the coating layers or base material. From a turbomachinery-design perspective, a machine cannot solely rely on the coating to avoid catastrophic failure or performance deterioration.
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7. The Global LNG Market: The Rise of LNG Production
The U.S. Energy Information Administration anticipates a modest increase in U.S. LNG exports for 2024 (2%) followed by significant growth in 2025 (an additional 18%). This growth is mirrored by expectations for a rise in U.S. natural gas exports by pipeline (3% in 2024, 4% in 2025) and a slight dip and recovery in pipeline imports in 2024 and 2025, respectively. Two trends are poised to send the global LNG markets into oversupply within two years: lackluster demand growth combined with a massive wave of new export capacity.
On the global side, the LNG market is expected to shift as new liquefaction projects become operational. International LNG production capacity may grow by approximately 193 MTPA between 2024 - 2028, rising from ~474 MTPA of nameplate capacity at the beginning of 2024 to 666.5 MTPA by the end of 2028—the fastest capacity growth in the history of the global LNG industry, representing a 40% increase in five years.
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8. Gas Turbine Sales Report: 2023 Holds Its Own
Overall gas turbine MW capacity orders were down 12.6% in 2023 due to the cyclic nature of the market for large turbines, but total unit sales rose by 3%. OEMs spend years taking major orders from start to commissioning; hence, it is rarely the case that a good year for sales is followed by an even stronger year. This indicates that the downward trajectory of gas turbine sales during 2010 - 2019 has been arrested, if not reverted.
With so much attention on renewables, emissions reduction, hydrogen, and net zero, Brough strongly believes the market will remain healthy for many years to come. The gas turbine market is impacted by increased OEM competition, market disruptions caused by international conflict and political regulations, the supply chain, AI data center power demand, and grids with an increasingly high share of renewable energy.
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9. Product Spotlight: Baker Hughes’ NMBL LNG
NMBL LNG is Baker Hughes’ modular solution for mid-scale gas liquefaction. Its modules can process from 0.8 up to ~2 MTPA each and are based on the single-mixed refrigerant liquefaction process. Each NMBL liquefaction train includes a process module, a turbo or electric motor compressor for the mixed refrigerant, a surge vessel for refrigeration storage, a cold box of brazed aluminum heat exchanger type, and an e-room.
Its mid-sized modular design mitigates the challenges faced with traditional approaches to engineering and construction and can reduce risks and increase control during the execution phase. Upon arrival, final installation is significantly faster and requires fewer onsite personnel depending on the project specifics. Modules can be transformed into “smart objects” via the Baker Hughes iCenter digital platform powered by Cordant asset performance management software.
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10. Turbo Tips: Lube Oil Types & Selection for Turbomachines
Lube oil selection is important for turbomachines: A properly selected synthetic oil can offer superior performance, including resistance to high and low temperatures, a longer service life, and more. The fundamentals of successful lube oil application include its behaviors in various operating conditions, the effects of lube oil additives, and ISO oil grades. Turbocompressors and centrifugal pumps typically use premium extreme-pressure lube oil—multi-purpose oils for a dependable performance over a wide range of temperatures and operating conditions.
As a rough guideline, lube oils for turbomachines should have oxidative and thermal stability; small changes in fluid viscosity; low pour points for cold temperatures; lubricity for resistance to friction and wear; extreme pressure characteristics; resistance to mechanical breakdown; resistance to sludge and varnish formation; resistance to corrosion and staining; and compatibility with elastomers and coatings.
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